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Fidesz leading in final general election forecasts

The final polls before Sundayʼs general elections all predict a victory for the current ruling Fidesz and KDNP parties; the key question is whether they will manage to gain a two-thirds majority.

According to calculations of the Nézőpont institute cited by online portal index.hu, Fidesz-KDNP can expect 112-123 seats in the new Parliament, which means the two-thirds majority is unlikely, but this will still represent a strong majority. As for the opposition parties, the seat forecast by Nézőpont indicates 36-42 for Jobbik, 19-20 for the MSZP-Párbeszéd alliance, 11-13 for the Democratic Coalition (DK), and six t0 eight for LMP.

Estimates released by the Republikon institute show a similar number of mandates for Fidesz-KDNP, at 113, while for the rest of the parties, the calculations somewhat differ from Nézőpont: 29 for Jobbik, 33 for MSZP-Párbeszéd, 13 for DK, seven for LMP, and three for Együtt (Together).

A poll conducted between March 28 and April 3 by the Publicus institute shows 45% support for Fidesz among committed voters, 20% for Jobbik, and 19% for MSZP, while LMP and DK can expect 7% and 5% of the votes of committed voters, respectively.

The result of polls on the intentions of those declaring themselves undecided is available here.