Though the forint is down slightly this morning, the past three months has seen an overall 1.6% gain in the currency’s value; Benoit Anne of Societe Generale was impressed enough this month to note prior to the announcement that “The forint has been extremely well behaved over the last month, suggesting that [MNB will continue lowering rates] as close as possible to 3%, possibly even a little lower…”
Anne’s statement seemed to marked a departure from the analyst’s advice of less than one month ago when he said “The recent out-performance [of the forint] is unlikely to be sustainable and is likely to be reversed.” Some are still keeping their optimism cautious, however.
A Financial Times blog noted earlier today that “although the cuts can’t go one forever, the current account surplus buys Hungary some time to kickstart its economy with low rates.”



