In the latest April survey, Tisza leads Fidesz by 6 percentage points among the total population—34% support Tisza, while 28% back Fidesz. The poll suggests a difference of 400,000 to 500,000 voters between the two camps, according to a report by 24.hu.
Among those who are certain they would vote and have chosen a party, the gap widens: Tisza leads 51% to 37% over Fidesz. Even among all decided voters, Tisza still holds a 46–38 advantage.
The poll indicates that Tisza’s supporters are currently more motivated and more likely to turn out than those of the governing party. However, the researchers caution that projected voter turnout in mid-cycle polling does not necessarily reflect actual participation in an election. Moreover, the margin of error for this subgroup is approximately ±4 percentage points.
The survey also shows a sharp decline in support for smaller opposition parties. Far-right party Mi Hazánk holds 4% support in the total population and 5% among those who have picked a party, barely above the parliamentary threshold. The satirical Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) and the Democratic Coalition (DK) both register just 2–3% support, while all other parties fall below 1%.
Compared to a similar survey conducted in October using the same methodology, Fidesz’s support has remained largely unchanged (29% in October, 28% in April), while Tisza has seen a significant surge—from 26% to 34% among the total population.
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