Inflation will be 7% on an annual average, but it will drop to 4.5% by the end of the year. While nominal gross wages grew by 7.4% during the first five months, GKI Economic Research Zrt and Erste expect a 4.5% real wage decrease by the end of the year. Although the rate of unemployment was on a steady decline so far, more people are expected to be out of work by the end of 2007. According to the joint prognosis, the central bank’s benchmark interest rate will drop to 6.5% by the end of the year, while the Hungarian currency will remain permanently strong. However, the budget deficit will remain high, with a forecast of 6.2% of the GDP. (Magyar Hirlap)
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