Fidesz retains solid lead but floating vote expands

Party Popularity

The number of undecided voters in Hungary has grown since late last year, but the ruling center-right Fidesz party still retains solid support, pollster Századvég reported. Other polls show decline in the government popularity.

The poll, conducted in the second half of March, indicates "no significant change in the political power structure," said a statement by Századvég. Among all voters, 37% supported the governing parties, slightly down from around 40% in late 2010, while 11% said they supported the opposition Socialist Party, essentially unchanged.

The camp of undecided voters accounted for 36% of the whole sample, while 6% of all voting-age adults polled in the survey support green party LMP and 8% radical nationalist group Jobbik.

Among decided voters, Fidesz and the allied Christian Democrats enjoyed 59% backing, while Socialists were supported by 19%. In this group, 12% favored Jobbik, and 8% would prefer LMP.

In the meantime, the latest analysis of Republikon Intézet reveals that little less than one-third of Hungarians above the age of 18 (those eligible for voting) support the Orbán government. The popularity of Fidesz stands at a six-year record low, the poll shows, as the party has lost one-third of its supporters since last May. Only the Gyurcsány government suffered a similar loss of popularity in the ten months after the elections, daily Népszabadság wrote.

Republikon reminded that when in opposition, the Fidesz challenged the legitimacy of the Gyurcsány government based on its worsening popularity. “If the Orbán government was consistent they would accept that they lost their two-thirds majority entitling them to create a new constitution,” the paper cites Republikon Intézet.

Another poll by Tárki shows that while the advantage of the Fidesz-KDNP government is still remarkable, it has continuously been melting since the end of last year.

According to Nézőpont Intézet, the popularity of Viktor Orbán dropped to 78% from 92% in last October.

Fidesz lost 3% from their popularity at the beginning of the year, and 4% by now, Ipsos results show – bringing down the proportion of supporters to 27% within the entire population.

A research conducted by Medián reveals that 35% of the population rejects the governing party. This number was 29% in January.


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